New poll compilation for the major polls taken through September 26, 2004 (the most recent polls that I included - AP, CBS, and FOX - came out of the field on the 22nd). I split them into two groups, to reflect the differences evident in the polls that have been coming out in the last week and a half:

• (1) All polls within a week of the most recent one (i.e., September 15-22, for a total of six polls).
• (2) Everything before (which came out of September 5-14, for a total of eight polls).

My calculations give me this (with a slightly different format than before):

	Bush	Kerry	Nader	Undec.
June 23, 2004	44.00	44.33	5.33
July 25, 2004	44.17	46.25	3.33
August 30, 2004	45.00	46.22	2.78
September 14, 2004	48.75	43.88	2.25	4.25
September 26, 2004	47.50	42.00	2.17	7.00

(Most recent sources: AP, CBS, FOXNews, Gallup, TIPP, and Zogby.)

So Bush has picked up a bit (2-3 points, probably), and Kerry's dropping hard. The one saving grace for Kerry fans could be the 7% who continue to describe themselves as undecided. Either way, the debates are going to be good.

It's worth noting that of the 14 polls used here, Kerry led in only one (the Harris poll), which came out of the field on 9/13.