Saturday, September 04, 2004

Since I am a true lover of polls (sarcasm), I couldn't help but post this one (more sarcasm) that gives Bush a double-digit lead.

If the 2004 election for President were held today, 52% of likely voters surveyed would vote for President George W. Bush, 41% would vote for Democratic nominee John Kerry.
Taking the mill worker vote out, it was reported 99% of those polled would vote for Bush (sarcasm).

Followup from Mike: Yeah, this poll was disheartening. A few minor points:
  • 1. This is one poll among many. Its results, so far, seem to be anamalous.
  • 2. The numbers are for LVs, not RVs, which is strange. The fact that RV numbers are very difficult to find (they're not here, for instance), as well as the fact that RV numbers were reported for most of the other questions, suggests to me that the RV numbers just weren't as illustrative (which is to say, they're a little closer).
  • 3. This is a poll taken during the convention. Pollsters generally agree (from what I've heard and read) that polls taken during a convention almost always give the candidate a temporary (i.e., 3-4 day) bounce.

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